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Monday, July 12, 2021

Space Weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays -- Energy and Ionization Analyzed By Super Computer

 stock here

The cited Abstract at the bottom is kind of old 2012.   It's a quantified approach to Space Weather.   And its very applicable to what I have been working on for 3 years now....the expansion of my hypothesis that Cosmic Rays are very related to volcanic and earthquake activity at some specific volcanoes....Kilauea and Moana Loa being mentioned, as well as the Iceland volcano--Fagradalsfjall-- that stole my thunder, when it went off instead of my call of Moana Loa going off.  

On December 7th I called for Eruption of Kilauea or Moana Loa within 4 weeks and a targeted midpoint of Dec 21 (solstice) and planetary alignments.    Kilauea went off on Dec 21st, a beautiful prediction.    This is all based on earthquakes and space weather, I am not even using the tilt meters and expansion meters.

On March 3rd, based on Coronal Holes, Kilauea calming down, and Earthquakes I predicted Moana Loa to erupt with a target date of Mar 21.   I don't have a good hypothesis of why big stuff loves to target the equinoxes and solstices, but they sure do.

Fagradalsfjall volcano erupted On March 19th 2021 and STOLE MY THUNDER

After being dormant for 800 years, that is kind of a big thing.




The galactic cosmic rays are the main source of ionization in the troposphere of the Earth. Solar energetic particles of MeV energies cause an excess of ionization in the atmosphere, specifically over polar caps. The ionization effect during the major ground level enhancement 69 on January 20, 2005 is studied at various time scales. The estimation of ion rate is based on a recent numerical model for cosmic-ray-induced ionization. The ionization effect in the Earth atmosphere is obtained on the basis of solar proton energy spectra, reconstructed from GOES 11 measurements and subsequent full Monte Carlo simulation of cosmic-ray-induced atmospheric cascade. The evolution of atmospheric cascade is performed with CORSIKA 6.990 code using FLUKA 2011 and QGSJET II hadron interaction models. The atmospheric ion rate is explicitly obtained for various latitudes, namely, 40°N, 60°N and 80°N. The time evolution of obtained ion rates is presented. The short- and medium-term ionization effect is compared with the average effect due to galactic cosmic rays. It is demonstrated that ionization effect is significant only in subpolar and polar atmosphere during the major ground level enhancement of January 20, 2005. It is negative in troposphere at midlatitude, because of the accompanying Forbush effect.

LOL this doesn't look safe

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